Anning courtyard property

1. Why is the housing price in Lanzhou rising so fast?

1, I think the most direct reason for the soaring housing prices in Lanzhou property market in recent years is that the market is in short supply, especially in 2007, as long as there are properties with sales conditions, few are not easy to sell, and the market situation is excellent. As long as the development of real estate rarely sells well, it is inevitable that house prices will rise in this market situation.

In recent years, Lanzhou's property market sales have been relatively good. As long as it is a property with sales conditions, it is sold one after another, just for a long time. It's sold anyway. Especially in 2007, the newly opened projects in Lanzhou were very limited. Some buildings accumulated in previous years ushered in a prosperous market in 2007, and house prices were rising, but the enthusiasm of buyers was not affected at all. Some popular properties are in the absence of houses for sale. In such a market situation, it is difficult for house prices not to rise.

Because of this, many foreign planning agencies that came in from Lanzhou property market a few years ago also withdrew from Lanzhou market last year and the first half of this year. The prosperity of the market makes local developers in Lanzhou feel that they don't need the help of professional marketing planning agencies, and the houses are still selling well. Moreover, the main reason for quitting the planning agency is that the planning expenses of foreign planning agencies in Lanzhou are still a bit too high for the Lanzhou real estate market.

2. Land supply is extremely scarce, and many development companies have no land to develop. The land transfer price is affected by a series of land transfer forms such as bidding, auction and hanging, and the land price rises extremely rapidly.

Land price occupies a large proportion in the composition of housing prices, which was lower than Jian 'an cost in Lanzhou market a few years ago, but this proportion has reached or exceeded Jian 'an cost in newly transferred plots in recent two years, and the rise of land price has played a direct role in the rise of housing prices. "Land prices are rising, and there is no reason why house prices should not rise." In a land auction held in Lanzhou in early April 2008, because less than three real estate enterprises participated in the bidding, they finally took the form of listing and selling. For a time, the prosperity of the market seemed to come to an end. In 2008, there were only a handful of saleable properties in Lanzhou market. There is still a big gap between the real estate available for sale in the market and the current strong demand, and the situation that the market is in short supply will continue.

3. Due to the influence of oil price in the international market, the price of building materials in China has been rising in recent years, and the rise in house prices has a direct impact on this factor.

4. The citizens' demand for real estate products is getting higher and higher, and the government's policy on building energy efficiency has also increased the construction and installation cost of newly developed real estate.

Second, is the housing price in Lanzhou acceptable to the public?

Recently, many institutions in Lanzhou have made a survey on the purchasing power of the whole market and the public's expectation of housing prices. More than 70% of the citizens think that the house price will be relatively stable or will continue to rise, while more than 80% of the citizens also think that the house price in Lanzhou is too high to buy a house without eating or drinking for a lifetime. Ordinary citizens are still eager for falling house prices.

High housing prices have become the unanimous voice in China, and everyone hopes that housing prices will come down. Of course, I also think from another level that there are still many people who want to buy a house and have such a demand. Otherwise, everyone will pay attention to the changes in house prices! For example, few people may know the price of a helicopter now. If one day, people no longer worry about housing and yearn for flying in the blue sky, the price of helicopters will also be a common concern. I think there is such commonality. Now there are so many people concerned about housing prices, reflecting that the demand for housing in the market is still relatively optimistic.

3. What is the profit margin of Lanzhou's housing price?

My personal analysis: the land price in Lanzhou has been rising continuously in recent years. At present, among the house prices per square meter of many buildings for sale, 700 yuan is the land cost, but in the house prices per square meter of developers who got the land after 2005, the land cost is about 1.500 yuan/square meter. At this time, the cost of land has more than doubled.

As for the cost of construction and installation, there are basically no multi-storey houses in the local market in Lanzhou after 2005. As far as I know, the cost of construction and installation of small high-rise and high-rise buildings is about 1.300 yuan/square meter, while the cost of some dishonest developers is about1.654,38+0.000 yuan/square meter. In terms of construction and installation costs, the average construction and installation costs in Lanzhou in recent years should be around 1500 yuan/square meter due to the rising labor costs.

Other construction costs, such as landscape, should be said to be a factor that has risen rapidly in the development process in recent years. So far, it is about 300 yuan/square meter, while the investment of some smaller buildings without landscape and supporting facilities is close to zero.

In addition, in recent years, in Lanzhou local market, the cost of selling real estate has also started to rise, the investment in advertising has also increased compared with previous years, the commission ratio of sales staff has also increased compared with the previous two years, and the investment of the whole marketing organization has also increased compared with previous years. These reasons have also contributed to the change of the whole house price.

Finally, it is nothing more than profits and various taxes, as well as employees' salaries and office expenses. In this regard, tax revenue has increased a little in recent years, but the increase in staff salaries and office expenses is extremely limited. The biggest proportion of this part in the whole house price should still be concentrated on profit. The profits of Lanzhou real estate in recent years should be relatively high.

Fourth, who is eager for rising house prices? Who is eager for falling house prices?

First of all, who is eager for rising house prices?

Personally, I think people who are eager for rising house prices are equally divided with those who are eager for falling house prices. If they buy a house, they don't want it to fall, and no one wants to see the property they buy depreciate.

Banks and government departments also don't want to see house prices fall too much, because it will indicate the credit risk of banks and even the stability of the whole society. At the same time, real estate has become a pillar industry in many places in recent years, which has promoted the construction of local social infrastructure and the rise of gross national product.

Real estate-related industries, such as decoration and real estate agency, should say that the desire of decoration industry for house prices will not be too strong, and the overall impact of falling or rising house prices on decoration will not be too great, while intermediary units and buyers do not want house prices to fall, because in that case, the life of intermediary industry will be difficult and the income of buyers will be reduced, so it is impossible for intermediary industry to get higher agency fees.

In reality, in Lanzhou, where I live, many original units have their own self-built houses, which are allocated to their own employees. Many families have more than one house, and they want to sell their old house for a new and better one. What happened to them? On the one hand, they want their house to sell at a good price, on the other hand, they want their new house to be cheaper, so they want the house price to rise again.

As for real estate media units, I personally think that the joint income of rising house prices is better than that of falling house prices, because in the process of rising and falling house prices, real estate developers may spend more money on publicity when they rise, and at the same time, they will also invest more money in the promotion and promotion activities of new selling points.

There are so many people eager for rising house prices, so how many people are eager for falling house prices?

The people who are eager for falling house prices mentioned above are people who want to sell their current houses and live in a better house, but they are not eager to buy a house now.

There are also people who are eager for falling house prices, that is, people with relatively low income or low income. They have two mentalities about the present house. One is that they want the house to be similar to the price of meat, buy a house or rent it all the time; Another is not paying attention to housing prices. Anyway, I can't afford it even if it falls by 30%, so I won't just pay attention.

For most working-class people, I personally think the most important point is that the housing prices in Lanzhou and even the whole country have risen too fast in recent years, which is a bit unacceptable and incomprehensible. The increase of personal income or family income is much lower than the increase of house price. Many people's income and housing prices have reached the point where they can't afford to buy a house for a lifetime. In addition, the large area of houses on the market in recent years is also one of the reasons. In this respect, there has only been an improvement since 2007. The rise in the prices of many consumer goods and food since last year has also become a factor that people feel that housing prices are too high.

As for the country, my own understanding is that "house prices are rising slowly and the housing market is booming", and the macro-control policies of the country in recent years are still guiding in this direction. In addition, irregularities in the real estate industry have always existed, and the state's rectification of this industry is also within the scope of comprehensive rectification.

5. Buy a house now or not?

This is a question that I personally think it is difficult to say whether to buy or not. Buying a house now, at least in a few years, will not affect the actual living. What about people who don't have a house now or are considering buying a house? Personally, I think we should choose a satisfactory and affordable house, or buy a house as soon as possible, because I personally think that with the continuous improvement of living standards and residential development level, house prices will continue to rise now or in the future.

In addition, there is another factor that buyers consider, that is, how much water there is in the house price in this area. Frankly speaking, the profit margin of housing prices in many cities in China is a bit too large. Of course, there are also problems such as high publicity costs and luxurious houses, but all kinds of houses have their own customer base. Therefore, in the process of buying a house, it is necessary for buyers to compare the cost performance in detail, which is related to whether the property will depreciate after buying a house. !

6. Is it possible for house prices to fall?

In the past two years, the state has invested a lot of financial resources in affordable housing and low-rent housing to support development. If the relevant policies can be effectively implemented in the implementation process, then the overall level of house prices is likely to decline within the overall market. But this does not mean that the price of commercial housing will also drop. When discussing housing prices, I personally think that commercial housing and government welfare housing should be separated, so as to be comparable. At present, the statistics of many statistical agencies are just "scratching their beards and glaring", which cannot reflect the real situation!

As for the Lanzhou real estate market, nearly 2 million square meters of affordable housing and low-rent housing have been put into the market this year, which is equivalent to the development scale of commercial housing. If these houses can really be bought by people who really need low-cost housing, there will still be good social benefits, and the public's response to high market prices will be less. A few years ago, the development and sales of these welfare houses and commercial houses did not have clear goals and customer groups. This has led to many people with relatively high incomes who do not meet the conditions for buying affordable housing and low-rent housing, but those who really need such housing still have no room to buy, which is a link that needs to be strictly implemented in the implementation process!

If we count the sales prices of all completed houses this year, it is entirely possible that the real estate sales price in Lanzhou market will drop this year. The main reason is that the price of government welfare housing is inevitably lower than that of commercial housing, and the low price of this part of the house will drive the whole market price down. From this perspective, the real estate sales price of the whole market will fall this year.

But if we only talk about the price of commercial housing, I think the price of the whole market will only rise and not fall. This is mainly because the demand of people who want to buy commercial housing is still relatively strong in recent years, and the market is still at the stage of no (too many) houses for sale, so it is still possible for house prices to rise. To some extent, I think it will continue to rise for some time.

7. Where is the next development prospect of Lanzhou real estate?

As far as the real estate development prospect of the whole city is concerned, I think it is necessary to analyze and describe at least the demand for house purchase, land supply, housing products, housing units and housing prices.

1. What is the housing demand of Lanzhou real estate market in the next few years? China's population structure is at the peak of marriage and childbearing in recent years, and young women of school age are still the new force of housing consumption under the influence of traditional concepts in China for many years. Therefore, as many experts mentioned in their articles, young school-age women will become the main customers of real estate sales. From this perspective, the demand for housing consumption in the domestic market will be very strong in the next 5- 10 years. of course，

Second, the current land market in Lanzhou is in short supply. However, in the past two years, Lanzhou has been implementing the overall plan of "land reclamation in Pingshan" on a large scale, and the planning of urban development to the west and east has never stopped. In the long-term master plan, some media reported that Yuzhong, Heping and Lintao should be included in the urban development area of Lanzhou. With the implementation of this series of plans, the land supply in Lanzhou may be improved. At the same time, there are a large number of dilapidated houses in Lanzhou urban area, and the transformation of these projects will surely become the main direction of Lanzhou real estate market development in the next few years. From this comprehensive point of view, there may still be some room for the supply of Lanzhou land market in the next few years.

Third, the continuous upgrading of residential products will be the necessity of market development. With the continuous improvement of people's living standards, the demand for housing will be higher, so the continuous upgrading of housing products will also become the main direction for the subsequent development of development enterprises. In the past two years, the gradual application of insulating glass, external wall insulation, solar energy, direct drinking water and other systems in Lanzhou local market will continuously improve the development level of the whole real estate market and the living quality of houses, which will also become a reason for the price increase again.

Fourth, housing Xing Tao will be more reasonable. At present, the supply structure of commercial housing market is still unreasonable, showing the phenomenon that Greater Xing Tao is the mainstream. However, with the rational development of Lanzhou real estate market in recent years, the supply structure of the whole market will also undergo qualitative changes and diversification, and the clarification of customer base will become the necessity of the next stage of real estate development market reform.

Fifth, house prices will continue to rise for some time. As the capital city of Gansu, Lanzhou is also an important town in the west, a transportation hub in the northwest and an important gateway in the northwest. At present, the highest price limit in this city is still relatively low. Compared with domestic capital cities, I think there is still room for improvement. A few years ago, there was a catchword in Lanzhou real estate-"How bold you are, how productive the land will be". There are still some drawbacks or imperfections in the real high-end consumer real estate in Lanzhou local market.

To sum up, I have made some narration and personal analysis on the overall situation of Lanzhou real estate market in my eyes from several aspects within my power. Judging from Guangzhou, Shanghai, Beijing, Nanjing and other national cities, Lanzhou real estate market is still in its infancy and embryonic stage, and the physical market still has certain development opportunities and opportunities. Lanzhou real estate market will develop in a healthier, more standardized and more stable direction. On the one hand, it will be more stable.