Some physical stores have closed down, will the rent of physical stores come down in the future?

My real example: At the end of 2065438+2007, I bought an existing shop with a loan of 500,000 yuan, with a total price of1.20 thousand, found a small suit in the center of property leasing, gave a little tip, and rented out the first batch at a rent of 5,500 yuan/month for decoration and building materials sales. After about half a year, many shops of the same type around failed to rent out, so I reduced the rent to more than 4000 yuan.

After another year, there are still many vacant shops, and the rents of the same type of shops have all been lowered. The renter said that the business was not good, so he simply stopped renting.

After being empty for a month, few people were interested, so I was a little panicked. In addition to the loan from this shop, there are other loans to be repaid, so I reduced the price by 1500, gave it a three-month rent-free condition, and finally rented it out.

Vacant for a day, no income at all, no matter how cheap, rent it out for a day and get it back.

This should be the mentality of many landlords, so when the supply of shops exceeds demand, rent reduction is inevitable.

With the impact of the internet, many original enterprises no longer need to rent office buildings and shops, such as recharge payment, clothing, electrical appliances, catering and other industries, can provide services online. In addition, with the continuous development of artificial intelligence, logistics services and door-to-door services will become more and more convenient in the future, more in-store services will be eliminated, the demand for shops will be less and less, and rents will naturally decrease with the changes in demand.

How many physical stores have been opened? The longest is eight years, and the shortest is several months. Let me talk about my views on rent!

If the physical store closes down, will it lead to a decrease in the rent of the physical store? I don't think so! The current economic downturn has led to the rapid replacement of many shops. Maybe the store last month changed its signboard this month. If you want to do business, there is always a wave of unrest. There is no lack of Xiaobai's first time. It has become the dream of many people to start their own business and be their own boss.

The store investment failed, leading to closure, but this has little to do with the landlord. The landlord made money for a long time, closed down and lost the owner of the physical store. In some places, he even paid the landlord the rent for one year at a time, so even if you closed down and didn't open the door, the landlord didn't lose much.

Only in this case will the landlord reduce the rent, that is, the economic crisis has come, a whole store has closed down, the store can not be rented out, no one has taken over, and the physical store would rather close down than run away. Only a large-scale situation will arouse the vigilance of landlords and reduce rents.

Once this large-scale closure happens, Wangpu will soon be unwanted and a street will be abandoned! Even if the rent is reduced, it is difficult to recover it.

The pressure of physical store operation is too great, but physical store is a form of commercial operation, and rent is also an independent commercial form behind it. In the field of real estate, if we don't eliminate the strange phenomenon in our real estate field, the rent will not fall because of the pressure of physical store operators. To put it simply: the homeowner has no sense of crisis, or has been in a dominant position, and is full of great optimism about the rent.

One of the possible reasons for the decline in rent is the downgrade of real estate. Let's compare it. Even if the rent can't be rented out, the owners will think that I can sell it or use part of it directly for investment and financial management. They are optimistic and will not sympathize with the store operators. Instead, they will put pressure on the store again, such as the rent increase incident, coupled with our lack of conditions, such as vicious price increases, forcing a good store to invest and operate on its own. These methods have become immoral.

The concept of real estate is very sensitive and everything can be understood, but it is a crisis in which the owners pretend not to understand and no one pays the price. First, establish perfect lease regulations and strengthen the protection of the interests of physical store operators. For example, vicious price increases must be cracked down, the spirit of contract is lost, and legal management must be strengthened; Second: after the real estate is cold, the investors in these shops are the worst. Therefore, store operators have been accused by the Internet. Switch to a new business model as soon as possible and make full use of the Internet. Once you have successfully transformed, when the real estate is cold and a large number of shops are neglected, the shop operators will certainly not be the first to pay the price.

In recent years, as we all know, it is more and more difficult for businesses, especially physical stores, which is related to the development of the Internet and the property market. The real economy as a whole is sluggish.

First of all, physical stores bear too many things, such as high store rent, expensive decoration costs, inventory pressure, labor costs and so on. These are overwhelming physical stores. For many bosses, physical business is getting worse and worse.

The rise of e-commerce is a great impact on the real economy. Physical retailing once had a multi-level market. The previous market process was from design and development, raw material market, manufacturing and processing, agency, wholesale, and finally to retail. Without any connection, that's impossible. Now the whole process has been integrated. Manufacturers do their own retail, and there is no market for wholesale.

Moreover, the richer and more dazzling goods on the Internet provide more choices, and are not limited by the size of the venue, and the freight rate is also falling again and again. Some products are also delivered home on the same day-things that are optimistic in the morning can be used in bed at night, without going out to bask in the sun, and they need to be sold at a discount, even the mobile phone case.

The shops are getting less crowded.

The physical business is getting worse and worse, and many businesses choose to quit, and many stores are changing careers.

People have more and more ways of entertainment! Eating can be ordered to take out, and shopping can be Taobao, so there is less and less willingness to go out.

There are more and more demands for closing stores and reducing rents.

Many physical operators began to transfer to e-commerce, because the profits of physical stores were compressed too much by online stores, and many businesses did not make money, but they also lost money. Therefore, we can see that all business districts that require owners to reduce rents often disappear. Rising house prices have caused a decline in consumption power;

The answer is no.

Whether the rent will fall or not is determined by market supply and demand.

The rental price that suppliers are willing to accept is determined by the return on assets.

Real estate prices are high at present. If the rent is to be lowered, the house price must be lowered. Because the price of real estate determines the return on investment, if it is too low, I would rather sell the property than rent it.

At present, there is no downward trend in real estate prices, so suppliers are reluctant to reduce prices.

Some people say that it will be vacant if the price is not reduced, because there are too many closures to rent out.

The demand side is changing. Under the current rent, some shops with low profits or poor management are closed, so there will inevitably be emerging industries, emerging projects are suitable for offline operation, and there is enough profit to support the rent, so the demand still exists, and there is no room for price reduction.

So although the shops are constantly closing and opening, there is no rent reduction for the time being.

To extend, is there a future for offline stores?

The answer is yes. Market demand is diverse. Not all services can be realized on the Internet, but offline experience and speed are still in demand.

Market equilibrium is a process of trial and error. If the demand is not met, there will be more market players, and then the profit will be reduced until everyone can't survive. ......

Therefore, there must be projects suitable for offline survival and projects suitable for supporting high rents in the future. For example, such a high rent in Hong Kong can still be rented, provided that the economy continues to improve.

In the past few years, the store transfer fee was very high, and now it is difficult to maintain the physical store without transformation! Now many shops cannot be transferred for a long time. The landlord rented out a lot directly, and no one rented it at no transfer fee. Rental information is posted all over the empty shops in the street!

A large number of landlords have reduced rents or even sold out! However, the location is particularly good, and the shops with large traffic are still relatively stable!

Look at the specific problem.

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1 In cities and rural areas with net outflow of population, rents have a long-term downward trend.

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Commercial properties in traditional wholesale markets and traditional department stores are facing the risk of falling rents due to the impact of e-commerce.

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3. With the economic downturn, the commercial logistics industry has fallen sharply. The vacancy rate of office buildings in Shenzhen has remained high in recent years, and the rental prices of many office buildings have been halved or even lower.

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In the core areas of big cities and areas where rail transit is opened, rents continue to rise.

In particular, 20 19 is a disaster year for physical stores, with successive failures and the blow of live broadcast platforms such as A Auto Fast. In the future, the living space of physical stores will become more and more serious, and the information of store rental will be full!

In 20 19, the market economy was not very active, and the development of e-commerce was in full swing, which really had a great impact on physical stores.

In recent years, with the rapid development of the real estate industry, many outlets have been built. In addition, the proportion of transactions at outlets, taxes and fees on loans, interest and down payment is higher than that of residential buildings. Therefore, in recent years, the sales price of outlets has declined. In many cities, developers don't do large-scale outlets now, and the total price of large shops is too high for anyone to buy.

Now it is a market economy, and the rent price is regulated by the market. Personally, I think that the rent of shops with relatively remote locations and less people flow will decrease slightly, but the rent of shops with good corners and large people flow will increase slightly with market competition.

However, with the regulation of the country and the improvement of people's living standards, the demand for service industry will be increasing, and shops will not be depressed forever.

The rent of the entity will not fall, but will rise. Although in recent years, e-commerce has had a great impact on entities, with the deepening of e-commerce saturation, the future will be a combination of online and offline sales system and user field experience mode, such as Tmall Store, JD.COM Convenience, Box Horse Fresh Life, etc ... Many e-commerce bosses have already begun to lay out, so physical stores will be an important sales carrier in the future, which is essential, and the rent will naturally not fall. Of course, all enterprises.