After the 19th National Congress, regulation will be relaxed? Think too much!

"After the 19 th National Congress, regulation will be relaxed and house prices will rise." There are many people who have this idea.

Think of this round of regulation as a gust of wind to deal with the situation, and there will be no other possibilities except the consequences.

This round of regulation was aimed at real estate speculation from the beginning. Moreover, unlike the previous regulation, this time it is all-round and involves almost all property types.

If we only temporarily curb housing speculation, there is absolutely no need to bring these non-residential products such as commercial office into the scope of strict supervision.

Even the land price and land use are clearly defined, and even the self-sustaining and rental ratio of the house can not be so comprehensive and meticulous if it is a temporary expedient.

Future supervision must be targeted and treated differently.

For ordinary self-occupied housing, the future policy will no longer allow the "willfulness" of huxing and price, and even make clear requirements for huxing ratio and price range. And there are clear restrictions on renting and selling.

In terms of tax collection and mortgage policy, owner-occupied housing will also enjoy corresponding preferential treatment, and it is impossible to implement unified standards as it is now.

As for non-ordinary housing, it is necessary and imperative to levy taxes, increase the proportion of mortgage loans and raise interest rates.

It can not only meet different housing needs, but also adjust supply and demand through policy leverage, which is a benign way of market resource allocation.

Commercial and office properties, it is impossible to go all out like this.

It is very necessary to require developers to provide corresponding supporting services for shops.

The current situation is: property management is only responsible for the community. Once the house is handed over, the street business will enter a state of self-management. This will not only affect the operation of businesses, but also lead to the disorder and unsustainable order of commercial ports.

In the future, the commercial management company of developers should not only manage self-sustaining leasing business and leased property, but also include bulk sales business. Property management company, same as above.

Lack of scientific and effective management is an important reason why commercial property depends on the weather to eat and die.

The rent problem of office buildings is a big problem that puzzles many developers. Besides the building itself, management is also a key factor.

Compared with shops, office buildings have higher requirements for services. From this perspective, allowing office buildings to be sold in bulk is inherently risky.

Therefore, only renting but not selling, selling in whole or in full, is the development trend of office property in the future.

It is impossible to change the contradiction between supply and demand simply by limiting land prices and housing prices and strictly limiting the proportion of rental and sales.

As long as there is money, there is always a way to buy a house. Even if the purchase has been restricted, developers are willing to cooperate to complete the whole process of coping with regulation.

"On-balance-sheet" prices are limited, and "off-balance-sheet" prices such as "tea fee" can be increased in disguise, which is difficult to investigate. The key is that buyers are still willing to accept this kind of open flame.

In order to buy a house, many times, rich people are very willing to be "local tyrants".

To solve the housing quality and price chaos, only through institutional technical means. For example, the blacklist automatically formed and identified is networked nationwide and cannot be changed, leaving people with no chance to operate.

It should be very effective for the relevant departments to crack down on "Lao Lai" and crack down on fake housing qualifications and disguised price increases in another way.

Finally, I have to say that the regulatory policies introduced by major cities across the country are only a warm-up before the 19th National Congress, and the real highlight is after the 19th National Congress.

Long-term mechanism, never allow market ups and downs, please experience for yourself.