Cause analysis of high vacancy rate of real estate

According to the Statistics Bureau and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, is Ding Zuyu's comment on the vacancy rate of the real estate market an irregular question? I think even if there are no domestic standards, there must be international standards. Relevant departments can also refer to international standards to formulate relevant national standards, which is nothing more than giving a relevant number of years. Of course, today's vacancy rate should refer to "the stock housing that has been delivered for use has not been used for a certain number of years", which we can call vacant. In China, I think it is more reasonable to define it as vacant if it is not used for two years. On the one hand, most of the new houses are not one or two years old, and the surrounding facilities cannot be completed; On the other hand, most people in China buy houses for a rainy day. Sometimes when a child is born, he will start to buy a wedding room for him, so there are relatively many cases of delayed use.

As for another indicator released by the Bureau of Statistics, "the area of commercial housing for sale" refers to "the completed construction area of commercial housing that has been sold or leased but has not obtained the pre-sale certificate". According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the area of commercial housing for sale in China in 65438+2004 was 620 million square meters, which should not be small. Of course, the "65.438 billion square meters" released by the IMF this time may refer to the "unsold part of the pre-sale certificate", which is not that big compared with the 620 million square meters.

In fact, the area for sale in each city may be more worthy of attention. I hope local governments can publish relevant data for your reference.

As for the difficulty of obtaining the vacancy rate, it is actually not that difficult, and the price that government departments have to spend is also very small. In fact, every local government can use the relevant data of property companies, power departments, water companies and gas companies for statistics. A lot of times you have to, but you don't. In particular, even if these data are mastered by local governments, they may not be willing to disclose them. After all, no one wants to see their vacancy rate "superior".

This is China's national conditions! We will be kept in the dark about this vacancy rate data for many years, so get ready.