Questions about Yang Lian Community in Pudong?

Diving with another id in Fangguan for over a year. This is a virgin sticker.

I have always been more concerned about housing prices, because I am gradually entering the marriageable age, and I just need a family.

I'm referring to the falling house prices in Century Park and Yang Lian Community in Pudong.

There is no grandstanding, and there is no blind ignition. I'm afraid many troops will say I'm talking nonsense. Here are some examples to provide.

At present, I have rented a one-bedroom and two-bedroom upstart property in Yang Lian community, Yang Lian Nianhua. I rented it when I graduated from college a year ago, when regulation was on the rise, so the rent was not expensive. The landlord is from Wenzhou, and he is the guarantor of Ping An Insurance. My upstairs and downstairs are all her houses, which have been sold up and down. My apartment is for her two sons when they are studying in Shanghai. It is said that she has no fewer than 10 suites in Lianyuan year.

When I first arrived in Yang Lian, I obviously felt the existence of the bubble. From Changliu Road to Fangdian Road, there are no fewer than 30 intermediaries on Yingchun Road, and nearly 20 properties near Yang Lian are their service scope. It is no exaggeration to call Yingchun Road Intermediary Street. It can be said that a year ago, Yang Lian Community was an intermediary except Thumb Square.

Due to the pleasant environment, complete facilities and suitable population density, my girlfriend and I decided to buy our own house here in the future, and the housing price in Yang Lian community has been receiving much attention. One year later, including last year's regulation period, Yang Lian's house prices did not change much, and remained stable at 1, while good properties exceeded 1 (that is, first-line properties near Century Park on Yingchun Road, such as ShuiTsinghua Pasture, Tianan, Gorgeous and Royal).

Because I have seen the house with my parents and contacted my friends about renting a house, many intermediaries in Yang Lian have left their contact numbers.

Since May this year, or more precisely, from the middle and late May, Yang Lian's secret agents began to harass frequently. Basically, it is the agent contact of Zhongyuan, Hanyu and Suzhou merchants. The main questions focus on consulting whether there is any intention to buy a house in the near future, and whether the problem of friends who want to rent a house has been solved. And frequently recommend houses that they think are more cost-effective. Harassment methods include phone calls, text messages and even emails. Such a concentrated offensive makes me feel uneasy and nervous.

After the release of the New Deal in June, the harassment offensive reached its peak, and a XX real estate agent called me for three consecutive days. I am very sorry for the sincerity of my tone and the urgency of my mood. First, tell me to arrange time to show their clients the house, which is urgently required by my landlord. I contacted the landlord, who denied it at first. Later, I said that since MISS ZHOU had no intention of selling a house, I would ignore the intermediary. When I heard this, her attitude changed. Compared with the steady, peaceful and even uncontrollable pride in the past year, her tone is a little more flustered. She admits that the situation is very uncertain now and she doesn't want to take risks. She took advantage of the fact that she could still make a profit when she bought it. I hope to understand and support. I think it's funny. The agent is desperate, and the landlord, shattered glass.

After contacting the landlord, I sent a message to the intermediary asking when you would arrange to see the house. My agent called me back the first time and asked me when I would be at home. I lied about coming back to Shenzhen for business next week, and my agent faded, so I teased him again. I said I wanted to buy a house, but I don't know how the recent market in Yang Lian is.

As soon as I said this, the intermediary immediately became interested. The other end of the phone probably brought me the latest recommendation of selling intention. Because I am familiar with the real estate and prices in Yang Lian community, I obviously feel the anxiety and anxiety of speculators. Because there is no record, only some impressive data are listed, mainly the newly promoted second-tier buildings, such as Jiucheng Phase II, Zhongbang Yasong, Yang Lian Nianhua, etc., which are basically close to 10,000, with decoration, while Yanglian has a small apartment with two rooms, more than 90 square meters, asking price of 850,000, with decoration, which is negotiable; China Yage, 7th floor, 13 1 m2, blank,1250,000. Although there is no obvious decline, the taste is heard, that is, speculators urgently entrust or even strongly ask the intermediary to help promote sales, and the price can be greatly reduced. If Duojun thinks I made it up, I can list the mobile phone number of this intermediary: 13482435××3.

When I came back from working overtime at night, I saw that the intermediary shop on Yingchun Road was brightly lit, and many people were making overtime calls. I guess they're all selling. Several balconies in China were displayed with red banners: emergency taxi+mobile phone number. Everyone seems to be in a hurry.

Judging from the environment, public security, population density and supporting facilities, Yang Lian is a very suitable community for self-occupation. However, due to the bubble, Yang Lian communities are currently occupied by vacant houses in second-tier real estate, such as Yang Lian Nianhua. I dare say that the actual occupancy rate is less than 40%, and the rest is speculation.

In the past two days, the information about house recommendation in the mailbox suddenly burst. Of course, the price has not been significantly loosened, and some estimates of less than 10,000 or even 9,000 are also the legacy of poor huxing. However, intermediary speculators are obviously much more nervous and scared than in the regulation stage a year ago, which is an unusual signal. As far as this region is concerned, once the price starts to loosen, it will be a domino-style chain collapse, because the second-hand stock is really too large and the homogenization of real estate is very serious.

I am firmly bearish, but I don't think Shanghai's housing prices will really fall. After all, I graduated from the highest institution in Shanghai, with a background in economic management and a basic influence of market and politics. Assuming that the century park is a plate, the reasonable situation should be completely different. For example, first-line real estate, from Royal Garden, Tianan, Gorgeous, Shuiqing to Nine Cities, Golden Vienna and so on. If they are stable at 8000 to 10000, then I think they still have enough purchasing power to digest. For example, several leaders above the assistant general manager of our company have chosen to buy houses in these buildings, and they will also know some friends in the community when they exercise and shop. Most of their backgrounds are wealthy businessmen and middle managers in enterprises.

Because the second-tier buildings can't see the Century Park and are close to the noisy Yanggao Road, there should be obvious differences in prices, such as Zhongbang Yasong, Yang Lian Nianhua and Contemporary Qingshui Garden, which are all unfinished from the perspective of apartment structure. I think the reasonable price should be around 6000. The inflated prices of these properties will not fall, and the first-line ones will naturally not fall. Generally speaking, it is reasonable that the price in Yang Lian should be 70%-80% now, but the difference should be more obvious. Of course, once it collapses, everything is possible. In other words, the price here is very fragile.

Generally speaking, the main selling point of Yang Lian lies in the natural lung of Century Park, but Pudong is located in Ma Pingchuan, so it is easy to build more Century Parks. It is said that Xiangyin Road Tunnel will build a green ecological park at the exit of Pudong, which is nearly three times the area of Century Park. At that time, the real estate and planning there will definitely go up a step. After all, it is closer to Jinqiao Waigaoqiao than Lujiazui in Yang Lian, and now it is equipped with migrant workers, subways, ecology and supporting planning.

For long-term speculators, it may be more meaningful to pay attention to municipal planning than to call the intermediary urgently.

I'm sure I can smell more when I go to the agency in Yang Lian this weekend. The first-line real estate here is estimated to be saturated, and the second-line is still promising. I said that the price loosening is only through some signs, but this day should come soon.

In addition, you can ask the residents near Yang Lian for information. It's convenient to find neighbors at 7 o'clock and visit the online community.