58 September housing report in the same city: the policy is favorable to the city, and the value is low.

Economic Daily-China Economic Net, Beijing, September 27th.

Recently, 58 Tongcheng and Anjuke released the national housing index report in September. According to the report, in September, the average price of online new houses in 67 cities was 164 14 yuan/square meter, and the average price of second-hand houses was 154 19 yuan/square meter. Prices in first-tier cities are at a high level, with small fluctuations and stable prices. The prices of some third-and fourth-tier cities have increased significantly, and the average online price of new houses in Hohhot and Tangshan has increased by more than 6% from the previous month.

Affected by the policy, users in Shenzhen and surrounding cities are more enthusiastic about finding a house. Telephone consultation users in Shenzhen increased by 1 1%, and active users of micro-chat increased by 3 1.6%. However, from the perspective of the market as a whole, buyers have a heavy wait-and-see mood, and nearly half of consumers said they were waiting to see and not in a hurry to buy a house.

Jaco, deputy director of 58 Anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, pointed out that if we expect the turnover of "Golden September and Silver 10" to rise sharply this year, I am afraid it will fail. this year

After the "Xiaoyangchun", the marketing efforts of housing enterprises showed no signs of weakening. The "sprint" of housing enterprises has been advanced to May, and the pace and intensity of market promotion in June-July are also significantly greater than last year. Therefore, the lack of color in September does not mean that the annual turnover will drop sharply. On the contrary, due to the early efforts of housing enterprises to "grab the harvest" in the market, the market demand was released in advance. Although the supply continues to increase, the market situation will remain relatively stable.

Jaco predicted that this year's "Golden September, Silver 10" overall price reduction promotion is the main theme, but the intensity and methods vary from place to place. Large-scale brand housing enterprises will plan nationwide "discount promotion" activities, but the expressive force in different regions will be obviously different. Some hot-spot second-tier cities with strict price limits have relatively limited room for price reduction; However, the price reduction of new houses and second-hand houses in some cities in the third and fourth tier and below may increase again, and it will slow down with the marketization of the market.

New house market: Jin Jiu is not hot, with favorable policies and low value.

According to the report, in September, the average price of new houses in 67 major cities nationwide was16,414 yuan, a slight increase of 0.32% from the previous month. In 35 of 67 cities, the online price of new houses rose month on month, showing a trend of differentiation. The average price of online new houses in Shenzhen is 52,950 yuan/square meter, which is basically the same as that in July. The average price of new houses in Shanghai and Beijing in September was 47,004 yuan/square meter and 45,667 yuan/square meter respectively, which was basically the same as that in August. The cities where urban house prices rose by top5 month-on-month are concentrated in the third and fourth lines, namely Hohhot, Tangshan, Kunming, Xiamen and Zhangzhou, among which the house prices in Hohhot and Tangshan all increased by more than 6% month-on-month.

From a national perspective, the heat of finding a house in first-tier cities dropped by 3.6%. However, judging from the urban distribution of online users looking for houses in 58 cities and Anjuke, Lianyungang, Shantou, Lanzhou, Yinchuan and Changzhou rank among the top five users looking for houses, among which Lianyungang's search for houses increased by 3.6% month-on-month. The overall heat of housing search in third-and fourth-tier cities has declined. Behind the rising transaction price and heat in typical cities, consumers have begun to pay more attention to the low-value market that is still growing.

From the distribution of room demand, three-bedroom and two-bedroom are still the mainstream market demand, with 45.4% users favoring three-bedroom and 33.8% users demanding two-bedroom. The data shows that compared with August, the proportion of three-bedroom housing-seeking fever has increased, while the proportion of one-bedroom housing-seeking fever has decreased. At present, the demand for housing is still dominated by family living.

Statistics of September in Tongcheng and Anjuke show that the user confidence index in September 2065438+2009 was 98.5, up 0.3% from the previous month. In the long run, 88. 1% of buyers are still optimistic about the potential of the market outlook, and think that the overall property market is in a stage of sustained and stable development, and the proportion that housing prices in first-and second-tier cities will continue to rise for a long time has increased.

In addition, the report also makes statistics on users' consulting behavior. In September, the number of users actively using micro-chat in China kept growing, with an increase of 8.6% from the previous month, while the number of users actively using micro-chat in Huzhou increased by 5 1.0% and that in Shenzhen increased by 3 1.6%. The number of telephone consultation users in Shenzhen has also increased significantly, reaching 1 1%.

Affected by the release of Opinions on Building Socialism with Chinese characteristics Experimental Demonstration Zone in Shenzhen and a number of favorable policies to attract talents, users in Shenzhen, Dongguan and Foshan have been enthusiastic about consulting real estate information for several months. Especially in Dongguan, which is close to Shenzhen and has high cost performance, the call volume in September increased by 2 1.4% year-on-year.

Second-hand housing market: Policy, location and value space become market differentiation factors.

The report data shows that the second-hand housing market continues to rise slightly. In September, the average listing price of second-hand houses in 67 major cities nationwide was 154 19 yuan/m2, up 0.39% from the previous month. The listing price of second-hand houses in 39 of the 67 cities rose month-on-month, with the average listing price of second-hand houses in Beijing still being the highest in China, reaching 59,654 yuan/square meter, while the listing prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Shanghai both exceeded 50,000 yuan/square meter. The cities with the fastest rising average price of second-hand houses in China are Jining, Baotop5u, Zibo, Anshan and Nantong. Similar to the trend of new houses, the value space of housing prices in third-and fourth-tier cities attracts attention.

Judging from the market supply situation, the number of newly listed houses in the country decreased by 0.2% in September, and the market as a whole was stable, but the urban differentiation was obvious. Among the first-tier cities, the number of new houses in Beijing and Guangzhou decreased, while the number of houses in Shanghai and Shenzhen continued to rise in August. Recently, influenced by the policies of Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone Lingang New Area and Shenzhen Socialism with Chinese characteristics Experimental Demonstration Zone, the market sentiment in the two places is also optimistic. From a national perspective, the newly listed houses in Kunming, Qinhuangdao, Chongqing, Kunshan and Changsha increased significantly month-on-month, and Kunming increased by 45.6%.

In the first-tier cities, the hot spots of second-hand houses continue to radiate to the surrounding areas and new districts, and Beijing Miyun, Changping, Huairou and Fangshan are highly concerned. Guangzhou Huadu New District, Zengcheng Xintang, Nansha Jinzhou District, Baiyun District Jinshazhou, Shenzhen Longgang District, Baoan District, Shanghai Minhang, Pudong and Fengxian are all hot spots. Xu Jing Town in Qingpu District of Shanghai made the list for the first time. Xujing Town is located in the western suburbs of Shanghai, adjacent to Hongqiao Airport, and the Shanghai National Convention and Exhibition Center is also located here.

Judging from the national housing index report in the past three months, the stable tone of the property market has not changed, and new features such as the market value of the third and fourth lines, online communication and mobile communication have continued to increase, and regional policies have driven the hot spot movement of the property market.