Does the auto repair industry have a good development prospect?

1, currently in the late growth stage.

China's maintenance market has a short history, but after nearly 20 years of rapid development, it has become one of the largest after-sales markets in the world. At present, China's automobile maintenance mainly refers to a brand-new technology of using special nursing materials and products with different properties according to the maintenance conditions required by different materials in different parts of the vehicle. The current automobile maintenance includes the maintenance scope of engine, gearbox, chassis, cooling system and fuel system. The development of automobile maintenance in China has experienced the following four stages:

2. The zero integral ratio coefficient measures the economy of the industry-the industry premium phenomenon is obvious.

On April 14 and 10, insurance association of china and China Automobile Maintenance Industry Association jointly released the research results of 18 on the zero integral ratio coefficient of domestic common vehicles, which made the problem of automobile zero integral ratio widely concerned by the society. Subsequently, the scope of the research model was expanded, and related research results such as automobile zero integral ratio 100 index, common parts burden index and its 100 index, and consumer maintenance burden index (now renamed as maintenance index) were released one after another.

In 20 14, the China Insurance Association initially revealed that the average zero ratio of 50 selected sample cars exceeded 400%. After the China Insurance Association disclosed this index, the prices of parts and components of various automobile enterprises have been lowered to varying degrees. With the gradual improvement of the system construction of China Insurance Association, the automobile zero integral ratio system will be a good measure for the development of automobile maintenance industry.

Judging from the data disclosed at present, China's auto parts burden index and auto zero ratio index are still on the rise. According to the international development management, the zero ratio index of automobiles is around 300%, which is a normal level. If this indicator is exceeded, the premium of car maintenance costs will be higher. In 20021year, China's automobile zero integral ratio rose to 350.93%, and the burden index of common parts reached 17.6438+0.

Note: Before 20 16, the construction of automobile zero integral ratio system was not perfect and the data error was large, so the relevant data was updated from 20 16.

After 20 19, the China Insurance Association suspended the disclosure of zero integral ratio data, and the latest data was disclosed in June 20021year.

According to this index, the market size is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan in 2020.

Based on the burden index and maintenance index of common parts published by China Insurance Association, combined with the number of automobile traffic accidents and the operating income data of automobile production enterprises above designated size, this paper makes a simple calculation of the actual warehouse scale of automobile maintenance in China.

According to the data, from 20 16 to 2020, the market scale of China automobile maintenance market shows a fluctuating upward trend. In 2020, the automobile maintenance market in China will be about 1.23 trillion yuan, up by 2.4% year-on-year.

4. In 2026, the automobile maintenance market will exceed10.5 trillion yuan.

In recent ten years, the automobile market in China has developed by spurt, but the service market is relatively backward. China's automobile maintenance service only developed rapidly in the past 10 years, but the whole industry is in a fragmented, chaotic and small-scale stage, which is the pain point of the industry, but it is also a huge opportunity. With the development of mobile Internet and digital technology, the automobile maintenance industry in China will continue to grow.

According to the forecast market, the compound annual growth rate of China automobile maintenance market is 3.8% from 2065438 to 2020. However, with the end of the epidemic and the recovery of the automobile market, it is expected that the automobile maintenance market in China will grow even faster. Based on this, it is predicted that the automobile maintenance market in China will reach 1.6 trillion yuan in 2026, and the compound annual growth rate from 2002/kloc-0 to 2026 will reach 4. 15%.

—— The above data refer to the Analysis Report on Market Foresight and Investment Strategic Planning of China Automobile Aftermarket Industry by Forward-looking Industry Research Institute.