Will China face the same situation when Japan retires at the age of 70?

Simply put, due to the aging population, Japan's labor force is seriously inadequate, and now it is delaying retirement, forcing people who should have withdrawn from the labor force to return to work. If this bill is passed, it will theoretically alleviate the impact of labor shortage in a certain period of time, but considering the demographic structure, Japan should fundamentally solve the problem, of course, by increasing the fertility rate or strengthening immigration. Of course, another way is to speed up the use of robots.

China will have a similar demographic situation, but it is still unknown whether China's pension can make people feel at ease, which also means that even if there is a legal retirement age, it may not make people put down their jobs. So when there is a shortage of labor, it is likely to be difficult to do it.

Increasing the fertility rate is a way to open the second child now, but the experience of Japan and South Korea shows that the effect is not great; It is impossible to introduce immigrants on a large scale in China. I'm afraid the only really effective way to solve the labor force is? The large-scale use of robots.

Of course, there will be other social problems when using robots, which is another problem.

Are you online? Older, fewer children? In fact, Japan is a typical representative country. Not to mention the low birth rate, just looking at the aging data is already thrilling.

According to the data released in September, 20 18, the population over 70 years old in Japan increased by 6.5438+0.8 million compared with the previous year, reaching 26.65438+0.8 million, accounting for 20.7% of the total population, breaking through the 20% mark for the first time, and the number of elderly people over 65 years old set a new record.

Let's talk about the impact on China. Due to the shortage of labor, foreign migrant workers will become more and more important. The wages of Japanese migrant workers did not change much during 10. But with the aging of Japan, they will rely more and more on foreign labor, but so far China is not the first choice for Japanese labor. Because of the development of China, it is very common for people to get 3-4k now. Going to Japan is 2-3 times the domestic salary. If Japan does not raise wages, it will be difficult for China people to continue to choose Japan.