There will be 52,000 more doctors in the United States in 2025.

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There will be 52,000 more doctors in the United States in 2025.

With the aging population in the United States, the demand for medical insurance is also increasing. The researchers hope to estimate that about 34 million Americans will get medical insurance after the passage of the 20 10 medical care law. How many doctors are needed under such a huge medical system?

However, Winston Liaw, one of the authors of the study, said that the biggest demand does not come from the fact that more and more people have medical insurance.

Winston said that the increase in medical demand is mainly due to population growth. This is the biggest driving force at present. On the contrary, the expansion of insurance actually accounts for only a small proportion. ?

Winston works at Robert Graham Research Center in Washington, DC. This study, published in the History of Family Medicine, mainly uses various data to estimate the number of primary care doctors and patients.

Later, they used these data and other data from the U.S. Census Bureau to predict how many doctors are needed in all parts of the United States to cope with the supply and demand problems brought about by population growth, population aging and the popularization of medical insurance.

In 2008, researchers estimated that about 462 million people came to see primary care doctors.

They estimate that this number will increase to 565 million by 2025.

They said that this additional growth will require an increase of 3% or about 52,000 doctors in the current attending doctor team.

Winston said that this figure represents the future demand based on the current situation. ?

In addition, it is estimated that the increase of 33,000 doctors is mainly due to population growth, the increase of 1 10,000 doctors is mainly to cope with the aging population, and the increase of more than 8,000 doctors is due to patients brought about by the popularization of medical insurance.

Said Dr. John Rowe of Melman School of Public Health, Columbia University in new york? In fact, the number of doctors is in urgent need of growth, which is divided into three main factors, including population growth, increasing demand for primary medical services and aging population. ?

However, Winston said, the study is not sure whether there will be enough doctors to cope with the extra demand. To this end, they have to calculate how many people will graduate from medical school and how many doctors will retire in the next few years. ?

However, some institutions have looked at these figures and estimated that there will be a serious shortage of doctors in the next few years.

The American Association of Medical Colleges estimates that by 2020, the shortage of doctors will exceed 90,000, and by 2025, it will increase to 1.3 million.

As for the affordable medical care law, the focus is on primary medical doctors. At present, some long-term plans have been put forward, including providing additional funds to encourage medical students to become primary care doctors instead of experts, who often get more tuition fees.

However, these plans only provide 500 additional doctors' allowances each year.

In 20 10, a report published by the American Institute of Medicine said that nurses may need to consider some additional responsibilities and take some emergency actions for the health care system.

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