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Japan's population is estimated to be 1 100 million or a record low.
Population estimate of Japan: 100, 103388.
1. Japan's population will probably fall below 654.38+0 billion.
Japan's * * news agency reported on June 8th that according to the population estimation statistics released by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan, as of June last year, the total population of Japan was about 1 .27 billion, including foreigners who had lived for more than three months. This figure is 2,654.38+0.5 million less than the previous year, with a decrease of 0.65,438+0.7%.
So far, Japan's population has decreased for four consecutive years, about 6,543,800+people less than the peak in 2008. At the same time, the total population has also hit a new low since 2000.
This population decline trend is in line with the previous forecast of the National Social Security and Population Research Institute of Japan. The institute predicts that by 2060, the population of Japan will be reduced to about 86.74 million. Among them, nearly 40% of the population will reach 65 years old by then.
An official of Japan's National Institute of Social Security and Population Studies said: With the gradual diversification of lifestyles, more and more Japanese choose not to get married and have children. In addition, the number of immigrants to Japan is very small, and this trend of population decline may be difficult to change soon. ?
Second, Japan's population is aging.
The proportion of people over 65 years old is 26.59%, which has increased year by year since 1994 began to count. /kloc-the proportion of people under 0/4 years old is 12.82%, which is decreasing year by year, confirming the aging situation of young children.
Last year, the death population reached 6.5438+0.3 million, and the birth population was only 654.38+0.0 1 10,000.
Bloomberg quoted Japanese sources as saying that Abe has set the goal of keeping the population decline below 1 billion. However, if the birth rate cannot be effectively improved, by 2060, Japan's labor force will drop by more than 40%.
Wall Street mentioned earlier that despite Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe? Want to increase the family birth rate from 1.4% to 1.8%? This appeal is welcomed, but some economists still believe that the Japanese government is too slow to deal with the population problem, and it will be difficult to boost the economy if it does not liberalize large-scale immigration.
Last year, the number of Japanese overseas immigrants increased by 5.4%, reaching 2 1.7 million.
Third, Japan postponed its retirement date.
Although Japan has long been labeled? Silver hair club? However, the latest statistics once again show the seriousness of Japan's aging and declining birthrate.
The data shows that the population over 65 in Japan is 33 million, accounting for 26% of the total population, setting a record since 1950 adopted the current standard statistics. Among them, 1 person in every 8 people is over 75 years old, which is also the highest proportion over the years.
At the same time, for the first time, the number of people over the age of 65 exceeded twice that of people under the age of 14.
Since the beginning of this century, the birth rate in Japan has been declining, and the working population has decreased by 500,000 every year. It is estimated that by 2025, Japan's working population will fall below 60 million.
The reduction of labor force will seriously affect Japan's economic development. To this end, the Japanese government has formulated relevant laws and regulations, stipulating that enterprises must extend the employment age of employees to 65 before 2025.
The Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare believes that extending the retirement age and increasing the employment of the elderly, especially the employment of the elderly families with dual employees, can not only make up for the shortage of labor, but also increase the income of the elderly families and increase consumer spending, which is conducive to the overall economic recovery.
Fourth, marriageable young people have reduced the high mortality rate.
There were 635,000 married couples, about 9,000 fewer than the same period of last year, which was the least recorded after World War II. The number of divorced couples increased by about 3,000, reaching 225,000. The Japanese government proposes to create an ideal environment for young people to have as many children as they want. The total fertility rate is 1.8? Target. Today's data show that it is not easy to achieve this goal.
The death toll exceeded 6.5438+0.3 million for the first time. Cancer is the biggest cause of death, accounting for nearly 30%. Followed by heart disease, pneumonia and cerebrovascular diseases. In 2005, the number of deaths in Japan exceeded the number of births, and the population naturally decreased. Although it reversed once in 2006, since 2007, the population has naturally decreased for nine consecutive years.
During the second baby boom in the 1970s, the number of people born each year exceeded 2 million, and then it showed a decreasing trend. 1the population born in 1984 fell below the1.5000 mark, and fell below 1 1.003539 in 2005. After converting the data into the average value, 1 person is born every 3 1 second, 1 person dies every 24 seconds, 1 couple gets married every 50 seconds, and 1 couple divorces every 2 minutes and 20 seconds.
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