Job Recruitment Website - Ranking of immigration countries - Ningxia College Entrance Examination Full Score Composition: Survivor Deviation
Ningxia College Entrance Examination Full Score Composition: Survivor Deviation
In World War II, the famous mathematician Wald suggested that the US military install armor on the engine of the aircraft, which helped the US military win the victory of World War II to a great extent, and thus produced the famous "survivor bias" theory. Generally speaking, people tend to trust the information and data from the survivors, but don't explore the information of the "dead", so these information are deviated from the real situation. In real life, from personal life to business management, the phenomenon of "survivor bias" is everywhere.
As a student, the most common problem is to choose a school and make up classes. Parents' selection criteria are usually based on the enrollment rate, the number and scores of students with high scores, rather than the proportion and scores of students with low scores, not to mention the overall teaching quality, teachers' strength and whether to teach students in accordance with their aptitude. Although parents know that every student is an individual with independent personality, study habits and interests, and admit that many excellent students are gifted, they are still blind and lucky because of the misleading of "survivor bias".
Today is an important day for 9.75 million candidates in China. After studying hard at the cold window for decades, thousands of troops and horses crowded the wooden bridge. what is the purpose? Just to get into a prestigious school like Tsinghua Peking University. Because parents and candidates see that graduates from Tsinghua Peking University can find good jobs and earn more than their peers. However, due to the "survivor bias" effect, the media rushed to report the cases of outstanding graduates from colleges and universities, instead of tracking and exploring the current situation of those students in Adventure Island. After all, society encourages the promotion of positive thoughts to comfort readers and give people hope. This has created an illusion for ordinary people, that is, graduates from top universities are excellent.
Then, many people may not understand why students who graduated from top universities in China can't find jobs or have average jobs and average incomes. In fact, it also includes the phenomenon of "survivor bias". From a high probability, it is generally believed that if you study well, you will be admitted to a well-known university, with bright employment prospects and perfect life. But people often don't know or choose not to listen, watch or believe. Many students who only pay attention to academic performance are squeezed out of the workplace because of their narrow knowledge. Because of lack of interest, not good at communication and cooperation with others, the rest of my life is tasteless; Even some graduates who have excellent grades and are used to being looked up to by others choose to end their lives when they encounter a little setback in life.
It is not difficult to find that many people and things often fail because of the influence of "survivor bias" by jumping out of the small vision of personal study and life and looking at the society and rationalizing some laws and pulses of business development. The * * * riding behavior that began to be staged all over the country the year before. When some cyclists just started to succeed, many people felt that they had understood the successful business model of the profiters and followed suit, but they could ignore the experience and lessons of other losers in this project, as well as the market saturation rate and market share.
Due to the "survivor bias", people tend to generalize, leading to blind imitation, without facing up to the experiences and lessons of the "dead" and "losers". Even a specific drug is only effective for a certain group and cannot be effective for everyone. Even a successful business model is established through constant experience and revision, and cannot be blindly copied. In fact, everyone understands the theory of "survivor bias". Although people may not know its exact name before, they do know a little. It's just that people tend to subjectively choose to believe the experiences and lessons of "survivors" instead of listening to "the dead". After all, they can't talk
- Related articles
- The 12th Five-Year Plan and Implementation of Hydropower Development
- Treaty of Aihun, what new method did the invaders use to invade our country?
- Introduce blassreiter?
- Why are so few people going to Australia to study undergraduate mining?
- Is it true that the governor of New York State was investigated by the FBI for alleged fraud?
- How long does it take to study in the United States to get a green card?
- What procedures and certificates do you need to go abroad?
- The defeated Japanese army went door to door and killed their own family members and children, which was a heinous crime
- How simple can people be?
- Why is North Africa dominated by whites?