How long will it take for the Indian population to surpass that of China, and what will be the consequences?

China now has an average of160,000 births and 9 million deaths per year. The population growth is less than 7 million a year, and the natural population growth rate is five thousandths. India's natural population growth rate is almost three times that of the United States, and it can increase the population by100000 a year. At the end of 20 14, the population of mainland China was1367.8 billion, and that of India was12.5 billion. In view of the lower and lower population growth rate in China in the next decade, even if the second child is fully opened for one year, the birth population will not increase by1100,000. However, as India's population base increases, ten years is a more likely number.

As China and India are not immigrant countries, they are both big international population exporters, and the gap between our annual immigration numbers is not big, which is insignificant compared with the huge population base.

As for what some people might call illegal households, I believe the official data for the time being, and I personally believe the statistics of China. Our population statistics take into account the possible existence of so-called black households, and China's household registration and identity system should be the strictest in the world. If this is not credible, then there is no national population data to believe. And no matter how to go to primary school, infinitely close to 65,438+0,000% people will go to primary school. The number of primary school students in the country can be inquired every year. Push forward six or seven years, and the population will be born. There will be no big error in the statistics of our huge education system. On the contrary, India and Afghanistan are really messy. A considerable part of the population has nothing to do with the modern world. How many people can't even remember their birth date, and the administrative efficiency is low. I can't imagine how to calculate them. It is estimated that the population error is about plus or minus 50 million.

As for the consequences, I need not say more about the population problem in China. The whole society is discussing the issue of family planning, and we have begun to study the harm of aging. As for India, because it has not yet transformed its population advantage into market advantage and labor advantage, if you regard India as a middle-income country with a population of about 200 million, the population size is similar to that of Brazil, and the remaining/kloc-0.0 billion people really have not created or consumed much, you can understand some of its economic data. The same is true of an increase of 200 million yuan, unless there is a real liberator in India, breaking all traditional barriers and finding a good solution to complex religious and racial problems.