Why did Hongdao become a ghost town?

In fact, Hongdao is facing a serious "population crisis".

20 13 Qingdao released the master plan of Hongdao Economic Zone and its surrounding areas, which mentioned that the planned construction land within Hongdao Economic Zone is 90 square kilometers and the planned population is 700,000.

According to the data, the resident population of Hongdao District at the end of 2065,438+06 was only 99,700, which was only 800 more than that of 2065,438+04 at the end of 2065,438+07, which broke through the100000 mark and was even better at the end of 2065,438+08, with an increase of 2,600.

Strangely, the population of Hongdao District has not increased much, but the house price has doubled.

Three times in three years, the house price in Hongdao District is really a roller coaster.

Anjuke data shows that in May of 20 16, the house price in Hongdao District was only 5 190 yuan, and in May of 20 19 three years later, the house price in Hongdao District was close to1500,000 yuan.

Therefore, to talk about Hongdao property market, we must understand the rising logic and price support of Hongdao property market.

2

There is not much difference in logic between the rise of housing prices in other areas of Qingdao, and the rise of Hongdao is also driven by policy and supply and demand.

The policy is driven by destocking and monetization of shed reform, and it is the same old tune, and everyone understands it. This is consistent with the rising trend of other urban areas in Qingdao.

The only difference is the difference between supply and demand. Hongdao is a virgin land, and all the infrastructure is under planning or construction. The main driving force of supply and demand in this place is not just need, but investment.

Even on 20 19, I went to a lot of Hongdao Mansions built for one or two years at night, and the lighting rate can only be described as bleak.

One of the biggest differences between investing and just needing is patience.

Users who just need to drive can't wait to close the house, inspect the house and decorate it in the first time, while investment-driven users are obviously much more patient with holding real estate.

Rome was not built in a day, and the prosperity of Hongdao cannot be separated from waiting.

three

For many people who choose to invest in Hongdao, the price of Hongdao has two price anchors.

The first price anchor is the rumor that Qingdao municipal government moved to Hongdao.

On the one hand, for the relocation location, this is naturally a major positive for housing prices. For example, when the Beijing Municipal Government moved to Tongzhou District, the position of Tongzhou came up. Once the Qingdao municipal government moves to Hongdao, Hongdao plate will become the upstart of Qingdao property market.

On the other hand, the relocation of the municipal government has long been commonplace. In Tik Tok, Wang Jianlin said there was a case in wanda plaza, Langfang, where the wanda plaza was actually built in the former site of Langfang Municipal Government.

Regrettably, this is just a rumor, just like the rumor that Qingdao will be directly under the central government, living in the minds of people and investors in Hongdao District.

So far, no conclusive information has been released on such a big matter.

The second housing price anchor is the planning and pattern of Hongdao District.

High-tech zone is dominated by industrial real estate, with the goal of attracting large enterprises and high-end manufacturing. Hetao area is dominated by commercial real estate, hoping to shape white-collar workers and incite service industry.

There is a saying: if you plant a plane tree, you will not worry about the phoenix.

Continuing this logic, Qingdao investors have also spawned such an argument: hardware determinism of housing prices.