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What conditions determine the amount of money issued each year?
1. In China, 1990, the total currency circulation was 1.53 trillion RMB. More than 20 years have passed. Today, the printing machine in China directly changes our banknotes into M2=90 trillion. It has increased by 59 times.
Meanwhile, China's GDP=40 trillion. Generally speaking, the ratio of money to goods is greater than 2: 1.
How to avoid inflation?
2. Compared with the United States, the monetary surplus of the United States in 1990 was $3.28 trillion. Today it's 9.8 trillion dollars. It has tripled. Don't forget that the GDP of the United States is $65,438 +05 trillion. M2/ GDP ratio of money to goods =0.65
You can look at the data above. China is an uncontrolled spam. Any democratic country in the world attaches great importance to the problem of inflation rate, which directly affects people's living standards. Therefore. Inflation in developed countries rarely exceeds 3%, which is extremely unimaginable.
When they issue money, they generally need the approval of the National Assembly, which especially shows that their central bank is independent of the government. In fact, all units in democratic countries are basically independent, and so is the court's arrest of the president. Because power is restricted and supervised. We're wasting money. You haven't even heard of the hearing. Nature is only decided by a small circle of people patting their heads. What do you think it is?
There is a paradox here. Money is issued for the sake of economic development, because the economy will keep growing and needs more money to support it, not to mention whether this conclusion is nonsense or not, even if it is right. Let me ask you, why does China Statistics Bureau increase GDP by 8% every year? The amount of money issued is 17% or even 20%. Even if the economy needs to issue more money, then this amount should be limited. For example, issuing 1 yuan can meet the growth rate of 5 yuan and 4 yuan. In other words, the growth rate of M2 should be much lower than that of GDP.
The dollar is the world currency, and many countries in the world hold it. Even his dollar is only 0.65, which can meet the GDP of 1, while ours is 2 yuan. Please note that we are not a global currency yet. It is reasonable that we should be below 0.65.
6. Our foreign exchange control policy has indeed made a lot of money, 3 trillion US dollars in foreign exchange, at least 20 trillion RMB. Germany is also a big exporter. People don't exercise foreign exchange control, and enterprises hold foreign exchange by themselves, so there are no extra marks, and the domestic inflation rate is very low. At the same time, prevent other countries from using foreign exchange to force you to appreciate.
7. After deducting 20 trillion, there is still 70 trillion, and the GDP is 40 trillion. Even if it is 1: 1, even if it is a fixed asset, I will give it to you 1 yuan. Where did the extra 30 trillion go?
8. China is really a big manufacturing country for billionaires. How many people emigrated overseas with their families. Hundreds of millions, billions, hundreds of billions of people. We just don't know.
What do you mean by GDP? According to gold reserves, according to commodity foreign exchange, according to fixed assets investment, according to national debt issuance (should paper money be destroyed after repurchase? ) and so on, all from textbooks, there are only a few factors in theory. Being divorced from reality is not the fundamental reason. The house price 10 has increased by 10 times, but the salary has only increased by 2 ~ 3 times.
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A buddy downstairs put forward the opposite view on some of my questions. Then I will be long-winded:
1. The relationship between currency issuance and economic growth.
The argument downstairs takes other people's ideas and then argues with me. I also study economics. The knowledge that human beings learn is the accumulation of past experience.
However, the reason why human beings have developed and future generations have surpassed the ancients is because future generations should have doubts. A person who completely copies other people's thoughts.
People, how to create their own ideas?
If there are 1 dollars and 1 apples today, then this 1 yuan is equivalent to an apple. If society continues to develop, it will produce tomorrow.
I bought another apple. What I want to say is, 1 yuan can buy two apples? As for deflation, is there any way?
Avoid? Let's not think about this problem for the time being. So let's look at our common concept:
Since paper money replaced gold, paper money has no real value, only use value, that is, for commodity exchange.
. In GDP, it is impossible for all goods and services to circulate, which leads to the concept of currency circulation. In this case,
Then the speed of currency issuance must be less than the growth rate of GPD. This is an indisputable fact. Even at some point. M2 additional issuance is greater than
GDP growth. Then after this, we should also destroy the redundant copies. But the reality is just the opposite.
2. The problem of immigration downstairs. I don't want to argue, because no one will give specific data, let alone expose themselves. I just saw one
The news said that a district chief was greedy for hundreds of millions, and there were 26 lovers who immigrated to France at home. They said in court: I am greedy for this money. greedy
How dare you catch 1000 billion? I don't want to argue with you about whether the news is true or not. What I want to ask is. Why are there thousands of central enterprises and state-owned enterprises every year?
1 100 million profit, never turned over (at present, it is stipulated to turn over 10%). What I want to ask is, where have all these profits gone? Don't tell me to reinvest. according to
According to this logic, if we continue to invest 50 billion years, can the profits of state-owned enterprises and central enterprises that belong to the interests of the people of the whole country still be enjoyed when the earth is destroyed?
Less than? So what is the value of the development of state-owned enterprises and central enterprises?
3. About the house price. The problem is that it is precisely because of the excessive issuance of money that asset bubbles are caused. 4 trillion investment plan
, most of them are not transferred to the infrastructure industry? Including real estate. As the representative of public land, the government is engaged in land management.
Fiscal policy, vicious circle. I'm surprised. Living on the earth is the most basic right in itself, and the ancients may eat it.
This is a problem. I don't think living is a problem, do I? You can find some stones to make a nest. Living today has become a luxury? breakdown
Is this ironic? Is it a conspiracy to make money by living? Look at people in several countries on earth who are worried about housing!
There is also the issue of wages. According to your logic, people in China should have low wages and no money, right? This is for the international competition.
Struggle? Then you did it for nothing. Why pay? What you said is stupid. There should be more competition with foreign countries.
It's time to compete in high technology, high technology and high service. This is called competition. Is it also called competition to work for others for nothing? Are you out of your mind?
High housing prices have actually improved the lives of quite a few people, yes. It is good to sell land at high prices, and the government's fiscal revenue will be more natural.
Some corrupt people lead a rich life. Two x's are also more. But what about most ordinary people?
High housing prices do not mean high prices. Do you mean that people die when they are hungry as long as they can fill their stomachs? Can't afford a house, where?
It's okay to be afraid of sleeping on the street?
With regard to the arguments you just said, I have to say that if you are a supporter of X politics, then you are on the side of people X and people X, for example.
If you are an ordinary person, then you are a typical slave.
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Author | Gao Yuyang
165438+1On October 24th, Ye Libin,